Why Majority Regional Winnings Does Not Decide Ghana's Presidential Elections

For a candidate to win a presidential election in Ghana, that candidate needs to obtain over 50 per cent of the total valid votes cast, according to Article 60(3) of the 1992 constitution.

A winner is not determined in Ghana's presidential election based on the majority of regions won. The constituency and regional demarcations in Ghana is such that the total number of registered voters in each region differs.

Some constituencies and some regions have more total registered voters than others.

In some cases, it takes a combination of the total registered voters of two or three or four regions to match up to one region.

A similar feature is also with the constituencies, where a combination of two or three or four constituencies had to be done before it matches up to one constituency in some cases. This means that, it is possible for one political party to win majority seats in Parliament but may not win the presidential when all those constituency results are put together at the national level. 

The Electoral Commission (EC) had as of Wednesday morning released certified results from seven regions.

A total of the results from the seven regions are as follows:


Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo (NPP) – 1,500,310
John Dramani Mahama (NDC) – 1,997,450
In those seven regions, the NDC's John Dramani Mahama won in three regions - Oti, Volta and Upper West and the NPP's Nana Akufo-Addo won in four regions in Bono, Ahafo, Central and North East.

Even with the four regional wins out of the seven by Akufo-Addo, John Dramani Mahama had more cumulative votes of 1,997,450 in the seven regions than Akufo-Addo who won four regions with 1,500,310.


Provisional presidential results released by the Ashanti Regional office of the EC from its collation centre in Kumasi but yet to be certified at the national level shows that the NPP's Akufo-Addo had 1,795,824 votes against NDC Mahama's 653,149.

The Ashanti Region results if certified by the EC's Presidential Election Returning Officer, will see Akufo-Addo overtaking Mahama and shoot to the lead with:

Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo (NPP) - 3,296,134
John Dramani Maham (NDC) - 2,650,599
Example

From the certified results the NDC’s John Dramani Mahama's total votes in Volta and Oti regions combined is 787,529.

Volta alone is 606,508 whilst Oti alone is 181,021.

In the Ashanti Region the NDC's John Mahama's total votes is 653,149 indicating that even though he lost in Ashanti Region, the votes he obtained in Ashanti is far more than Volta alone.

Bono East

The Bono East Regional Director of the EC has also released the regional collated results minus the Techiman South constituency because of a dispute.

It shows Akufo-Addo had 153,341 votes and Mahama won with 213,694 votes.

Mahama's claim of winning 10 regions

On Tuesday, December 8, 2020, candidate John Drama Mahama of the NDC claimed that his party had won a Parliamentary majority and had won the election in a total of 10 regions out of the 16.

This, he claimed was translating to a win for him in the presidential election.

Supporting that notion, the national executive of the NDC supported that argument and insisted that once they have won regional majority, it will translate into an overall win for them.

2008 example

In the 2008 Elections, a similar argument was made when in the first round of the December 7 elections, the NDC won a Parliamentary majority but was behind the NPP's Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo who led in the presidential election but was not declared winner because he did not obtain the over 50% from the total valid votes cast.

The NDC in the 2008 election won majority votes in eight regions in the then 10 regions with the exception of Ashanti and Eastern where the NPP won. Even with just the two regional wins, the NPP's candidate had the majority votes but could not obtain the over 50%.

The election went for a second round on December 28, 2008 between the two leading candidates, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo and the late John Evans Atta Mills where Atta Mills won the second round and became president.

Regional breakdown of certified results by the EC

VOLTA

NPP - 100,481

NDC - 606,508

 

NORTH EAST

NPP - 122,742

NDC - 112,306

 

CENTRAL

NPP - 613,804

NDC - 538,829

 

AHAFO

NPP - 145,584

NDC - 116,485

 

UPPER WEST

NPP - 121,230

NDC - 238,972

 

OTI

NPP - 103,865

NDC - 181,021

 

BONO

NPP - 292,604

NDC - 203,329

Read also: EC releases presidential election results from 7 regions

The EC on Wednesday dawn said it has received results from 14 regions and out of that, seven of them have been certified.

The remaining seven results are going through the certification process and would be released immediately that is done.

The Chairperson of the EC, Mrs Jean Mensa mentioned the two remaining regions where results were still outstanding as Bono East and Northern.

The seven regions where the results had been certified and released were Volta, North East, Central, Ahafo, Upper West, Oti and Bono.

Those outstanding were Ashanti, Eastern, Western, Western North, Upper East, Greater Accra and Savannah.

The EC is expected to declare the results of the presidential elections and clarify who has won parliamentary majority before the close of day, Wednesday, December 9, 2020.

Source: Enoch Darfah Frimpong/Daily Graphic