National Chairman hopeful, Kwabena Abankwa Yeboah is anticipated to win the New Patriotic Party (NPP) National Chairman race with a margin of over 85.30 percent, according to the results of a pre-polls survey by Antwi, Dickson & Associates.
The survey was conducted for all eight aspirants vying for the NPP National Chair position and was done over a period of six months from January to June 2022.
A sample size of 5000 pro-NPP-respondents comprising delegates, Regional executives, Ministers, constituency executives, Council of Elders and patrons across all the 275 constituencies in the 16 Regions of Ghana is interviewed.
"Over a ten (10) day period, one thousand three hundred and eighty (1380) NPP Constituency and Regional Executives randomly selected across all two hundred and seventy-six (276)Constituencies and sixteen (16)Regions of Ghana, were asked to score in percentage terms, all NPP National Chairman aspirants, on the basis of ten (10)equally weighed evaluation criteria.
Based on our results, across a broad spectrum of Constituency and Regional Executives, Kwabena Abankwah Yeboah is most likely to win the elections for the National Chairman position of the NPP", the survey confirmed.
Survey
ELECTION OF NATIONAL EXECUTIVES FOR THE NEW PATRIOTIC PARTY (NPP)
(THE NATIONAL CHAIRMAN POSITION)
A SURVEY ACROSS 276 CONSTITUENCIES
(SAMPLE SIZE N=1380)
FINAL SUMMARY REPORT
JULY 2022
ANTWI, DICKSON& ASSOCIATES
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION ……………………………………………………………………………Page 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY....................................................................Page 3
KEY FINDINGS………………………………………………………………………………..Page 4
METHODOLOGY…………………………………………………………………………….Page 5
ANALYSIS OF SURVEY RESULTS……………………………………………….Page 6
CONCLUSION……………………………………………….………………………………..Page 10
INTRODUCTION
The New Patriotic Party (NPP)will conduct internal elections for National Executive positions between July 15 and July 17, 2022. At the helm of the party’s hierarchy and thus of keen interest, is the NationalChairman position.
The NPP intends to break the usual eight (8) year cycle of political power by winning the 2024 Presidential and Parliamentary elections, which is by no estimationan easy task, considering recent unfavourable political and economic developments.
Whether the party’s intent materializes or remains a dream coulddepend on its choice of National Chairman.
In view of this Antwi, Dickson & Associatesrecently conducted a surveyinvolvingonethousand three hundred and eighty (1380)NPPConstituency and RegionalExecutivesselected across all two hundred and seventy-six (276)Constituencies and sixteen (16)Regionsof Ghana,for insights on their preferred candidate as the National Chairman of the NPP.
The survey was conducted by telephone between July 1 and10, 2022, and the average respondent completed a survey within approximately twenty (20) minutes.The margin of sampling error for the survey as a whole is ± 4.9 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.
This report summarizes the results of the survey, and draws the relevantconclusions.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The purpose of this survey was to get the most accurate, relevant, timely and unambiguous information of high predictive value, concerning the upcoming National Executives elections of the New Patriotic Party (NPP). We focused on the National Chairmanposition.
Over a ten (10) day period, one thousand three hundred and eighty (1380)NPP Constituency and Regional Executives randomlyselected across alltwo hundred and seventy-six (276)Constituencies and sixteen (16)Regionsof Ghana, were asked to score in percentage terms,all NPPNational Chairman aspirants, on the basis of ten (10)equally weighed evaluation criteria.
Based on our results, across a broad spectrum of Constituency and Regional Executives, Kwabena Abankwah Yeboahis most likely to win the elections for the National Chairman position of the NPP.
KEY FINDINGS
Considering all the criteria of evaluation:
1. Kwabena Abankwah Yeboah scored the highest average of 85.30 %
2. At second place, Stephen Asamoah-Boateng scored an average of54.00 %.
3. Stephen Ayensu Ntim scored an average of 50.50%.
4. Prof. Christopher Ameyaw Ekumfi,Joseph Ayikoi Otoo,Sammy Crabbe, Akwasi Osei Adjei and Gifty Ayeh scored48.70 %, 35.70 %, 35.20 %, 27.70 %and27.30 %respectively.
5. These results suggest thatKwabena Abankwah Yeboahis the candidate of choice across a diverse range of NPP Regional and Constituency Executives (who constitute overseventy (70) % of the NPP Electoral College), and so is most likely to win the NPP National Chairman position.
6. The Bar Chart in the FIGURE 1 below visually illustrates the results of this survey:
FIGURE 1:
AVERAGE PERCENTAGE SCORES OF NATIONAL CHAIRMAN ASPIRANTS OF THE NPP
FIGURE 2:
SUMMARY OF RESULTS FROM ALL RESPONDENTS ACROSS 276 CONSTITUENCIES AND 16 REGIONS
METHODOLOGY
Using a random sampling method, our five (5) member survey team conducted telephone interviews with one thousand three hundred and eighty (1380)Constituency and Regional Executives of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) aged eighteen (18) and above, from all two hundred and seventy-six (276) Constituencies and sixteen (16) Regions of Ghana. The survey was conducted between July 1 and 10, 2022.
We asked each respondent to independently assess and score on a percentage scale, each of the following National Chairman aspirants;
i. Gifty Ayeh ii. Sammy Crabbe iii. Prof. Christopher Ameyaw-Ekumfi
iv. Akwasi Osei-Adjei v. Stephen Ayensu Ntim vi. Joseph Ayikoi Otoo
vii. Stephen Asamoah-Boateng viii. Kwabena Abankwah Yeboah
These aspirants were scored on the basis of ten (10) carefully selected evaluation criteria, namely
i. Competence ii. Courage iii. Energy iv. Discipline v. Prudent Management
vi. Trustworthiness vii. Transparency viii. Neutral and Unbiased Judgement ix. Concern for Grassroot Welfare x. Ingenuity
The average interview duration per respondent was approximately twenty (20) minutes.
Subsequently, the scores were compiled, populated into various tables and the average scores of respective aspirants calculated.
The visual descriptive tool, the Bar Chart was employed for easier comparison and appreciation of results.
ANALYSIS OF SURVEY RESULTS
In the following pages, the data collection tools employed are demonstrated using information gathered from specific respondents. These are a few extracts from which the global compilations and calculations are made.
FIGURE 3:
ATWIMA NWABIAGYA RESPONDENT 1, CRITERION: COMPETENCE
ASPIRANT
SCORE (%)
Gifty Ayeh
39
Sammy Crabbe
31
Prof. Christopher Ameyaw-Ekumfi
49
Akwasi Osei-Adjei
42
Stephen Ayensu Ntim
53
Joseph Ayikoi Otoo
50
Stephen Asamoah-Boateng
48
Kwabena Abankwah Yeboah
85
FIGURE 4:
SAWLA TUNA KALBA RESPONDENT 2, CRITERION: PRUDENT MANAGEMENT
ASPIRANT
SCORE (%)
Gifty Ayeh
41
Sammy Crabbe
45
Prof. Christopher Ameyaw-Ekumfi
49
Akwasi Osei-Adjei
41
Stephen Ayensu Ntim
65
Joseph Ayikoi Otoo
43
Stephen Asamoah-Boateng
53
Kwabena Abankwah Yeboah
95
FIGURE 5:
TROBO RESPONDENT 3, CRITERION: TRANSPARENCY
ASPIRANT
SCORE (%)
Gifty Ayeh
32
Sammy Crabbe
32
Prof. Christopher Ameyaw-Ekumfi
54
Akwasi Osei-Adjei
32
Stephen Ayensu Ntim
50
Joseph Ayikoi Otoo
32
Stephen Asamoah-Boateng
49
Kwabena Abankwah Yeboah
89
FIGURE 6:
SUMMARY OF RESULTS FROM ALL RESPONDENTS ACROSS 276 CONSTITUENCIES AND 16 REGIONS
CONCLUSION
Our survey involving onethousand three hundred and eighty (1380)NPPConstituency and RegionalExecutivesrandomly selected across all two hundred and seventy-six (276)Constituencies and sixteen (16) Regions of Ghana, concerning their preferred candidate as the National Chairman of the NPP, yielded the following results:
1. The survey spanned a period of ten (10) days, from July 1 to July 10, 2022.
2. The average respondent completed a survey within approximately twenty (20) minutes.
3.Kwabena Abankwah Yeboah scored the highest average of 85.30 %.
4. Stephen Asamoah-Boateng scored an average of 54.00 %.
5. Stephen Ayensu Ntim scored an average of 50.50%.
6.Prof. Christopher Ameyaw Ekumfi, Joseph Ayikoi Otoo,Sammy Crabbe, Akwasi Osei Adjei and Gifty Ayeh scored 48.70 %, 35.70 %, 35.20 %, 27.70 % and 27.30 % respectively.
8. The margin of sampling error for the survey as a whole is ± 4.9 % at a 95% confidence level.
7. Our findings suggest that Kwabena Abankwah Yeboahis the candidate of choice across a diverse range of NPP Regional and Constituency Executives (who constitute overseventy (70) % of the NPP Electoral College), and so is most likely to win the NPP National Chairman position.
Source: Peacefmonline.com/Ghana
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